The first 10 and the temptation to tinker.
We're 10 games into the season so I decided to take a look at the 8 division leaders and their chances of finishing the season in the same spot.
But first, the temptation to tinker. If you've ever seen "The League" on FX you know what I'm talking about. (If you haven't seen it I highly recommend the show. http://www.fxx.com/theleague. You can find it on Netflix if you don't have FXX in your area). One of the shows main characters, Rodney Ruxin, played by the amazing Nick Kroll, loves to tinker with his fantasy lineup and is always picking the wrong week to start similar players.
Of course, every team is different and owners have different "reasons" for tinkering with lineups, rotations, and moving players up and down in their systems.
Personally, I generally don't do a thing until after the All-Star break. At that point I might try an add a bullpen arm or a starting pitcher if a guy is stinking up the joint. My experience has been tinkering is generally a bad idea in this game. I don't know, maybe folks just get board and make moves for the sake of making moves.
Here are your 8 hot starters by division;
NL North - Burlington Lake Monsters, 5% chance
I have the utmost respect for pak, but the division is too tough and his team is a year or 2 away from serious contention. They've been outscored 47-53 but managed an 8-2 start.
NL East - Trenton Thunder, 58.75% chance
I give silent ed and his boys a greater than 50% because they've done it year after year under Mr. Cheeze. Dover is rebuilding, Charleston is up and coming, and Norfolk is the Los Angeles Clippers of minor leagues. In the words of the owner himself, "every f*cking year". In all seriousness, I really like his squad. I wonder if Ruxin will continue to tinker to turn the franchise around.
NL South - Iowa City Cubs, 32.89754% chance
Dodgers has built his squad around pitching and defense. I still like NO and metsny. I suspect it will come down to the wire.
NL West - Vancouver Canadians, 100 billion % chance
I heart Vancouver. A few years ago I said this was one of the best teams I had ever seen. They were well balanced and punished all with great offense, defense, and the best pitching HBD had every seen. They are no longer that. However, still the class of the division in my opinion.
AL North - Madison Hatters, 25% chance
They have an awesome name. They have the producer of Tom and Jerry as the owner. Do they have enough to hold off mj and the rest of the division? This is one team I might be tempted to tinker with down the stretch.
AL East - New Britain Rock Cats, 51.~@#% chance
josepaco is a great owner. I'm glad we don't compete in the same division. Good luck catching this squad.
AL South - Richmond Braves - infinit.infinit% chance
cyclones, a standard by which other great HBD owners can be measured. Again, good luck catching this squad.
AL West - Omaha Storm Chasers - 25.pi% chance
After years of mediocrity this might be pratts year. This is another team I might tinker with as the season goes on. At some point, you have to go all in. We'll see what pratt does.
*All percentages were calculated using the very advanced and technical formula of E=Mc2/pi x infinite.
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