Monday, April 2, 2012

Season 19 Preview - NL East



Alcheez had to be the sickest man in the MiLB last year. Losing a tiebreak instead of getting the chance to fight it out with the Indians, the Bats were on the outside looking in.
The Bats finished in the middle for both runs scored and runs allowed. With another year under their belt, super stars Ubaldo Diaz and Bill White are just plain scary. The pitching staff is mediocre, but with the offense that much improved (and Jepsen on the way) expect AL to ride into the playoffs.
Next season is when the young pitching prospects arrive in force. Louisville will be a force for several years.


Jpg and his band of Indigenous Peoples of Indiana slipped into the playoffs last year only to get swept by Memphis. But they had a good time spending  $120 million to get there (3rd highest in the league). What was troubling about the Indians was their defense and pitching FIP. Team FIP was not great, 4.40, but and they gave up 4.68 runs per game (23rd in the league.)
In the off season they kept pretty much the same group of pitchers except picking up Alfonseca. They also added a little bit of defense, but not enough to really improve that much on their runs allowed. Offensively, this team got tremendously better by going after Grover Singleton. He isn’t a slugger in the classical sense, but that’s not what is needed in Indy. He will be a doubles machine that can steal some bases and play a little defense. A marked improvement. I’m not sure if they will meet their expectations of getting into the playoffs, but they should get close. If Louisville falters they will sneak in. Again.


Dhyatt spent money to get some offense from Lawrence and Delahanty. But the other fill in’s do more to hurt the team. The defense is in bad shape, and the pitching staff isn’t good. Frankly, I’m not sure what the identity of this team is supposed to be. They should be in a full rebuild after finishing last in runs scored and second to last in runs allowed. Their FIP is 28th, yet payroll last year was $75 million.

 
My old buddy dilo continues his rebuilding project in Norfolk. So far he has done amazingly well. Flores, Aparicio, Nunez, and Jimenez are a year older and better. The team is a solid defensive team; and with solid pitching FIP should get better.
What makes a good FIP pitcher? Great control, velocity, and groundball ratings (low walk rate, high number of k’s, and low number of HR).
Richards = good all around; Trevino = bad in all areas; Salazar = decent control; Mujica = bad in all areas; Franco = only lacking velocity. As you can see…Only one really good FIP pitcher (Richards), two okay fip pitchers (Franco/Salazar), and two really bad FIP pitchers (Trevino/Mujica). How can this team get better? Maybe one more bat that can still play defense, and replace Franco/Salazar with pitchers that will be better suited to the kind of defense that has been built. Knowing dilo he has a plan and I'm curious to see where the club goes from here. I suspect the Tide will come rolling in sometime REAL soon.

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